I'd like to think we'll catch Osama soon, but rumours have it, as has been reported previously in public media, that he might have swung a deal for protection within Iran. The Pakistanis have put tremendous pressure on their NW tribal leaders to drive our Al-Qaida elements.
I was wondering if it was going to be Syria, or Iran, that would be next on the agenda, for reforming.. It's seems pretty certain that, if true, Iran will be the next target..
And it makes sense because Iran is the source of much of the turmoil in Iraq right now..
Lots of little deals with the Shiite clerics and leadership.. Watch the news regarding the Badr Brigage in the future, if they cover it..
I heard some RUMINT that they might be trying to infiltrate the Iraqi security forces in order to create sway over the military institutions.
The interim government is going to have to make a decision as to how they are going to handle fundamentalist elements within their ranks.
Remember what happened to Sadat..
Also, any defeat visited upon the Sunnis can be construed as the "will of Allah" on their behalf in creating this opportunity to have a Shiite state within Iraq. That's not going to be permitted.
Which means that Iran is going to come under some terrific pressure over the next year, IMO.
And any evidence that Osama is in Iran will only fire that determination to swing in that direction (which would, no doubt, benefit the Wahhabists who seek to supress the Shiites within their midst).
Hawk |
