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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: Dayuhan who wrote (56059)7/25/2004 10:05:56 AM
From: quehubo  Read Replies (1) of 793622
 
""As the US presence withdraws and a democratic government emerges, at least temporarily, "

2/3 of the worlds oil sits along the Persian Gulf shores. Do you really think we will be withdrawing or even significantly reducing our presence?

Iran, Iraq and SA have one thing in common, economic and political systems that fail to meet the minimum needs of the vast majority of their populations. They are on a collision course with population bubbles whose satisfaction level can only be improved through attracting foreign investment. Their governments cannot survive without our support.

I doubt this course of change will be resolved without a significant occupation of the Persian Gulf area by multinational forces who have been compelled to respond after oil flow is interrupted.

Once terrorism, aggression or anarchy interrupts any significant oil flow from the gulf, oil prices will escalate dramatically and the worlds economy will be thrown into a tailspin. I expect the results of a significant oil interruption to compel people of many nations to support whatever action required to stabilize oil flow from the region.

Which regime will fall first, the Iranians or the Saudi's? My guess is the Iranian mullahs will either make a fatal move or their masses will finally move against them.
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