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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries
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To: Paul Senior who wrote (51905)7/29/2004 11:25:12 PM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (1) of 74559
 
>>On what do you base your opinion?<<

Paul, I doubt that I will persuade you as you likely are not a Bush fan. Nevertheless, here's my candid assessment:

1) Kerry is not a strong Presidential candidate. The Republican media machine will take him apart in the run-up to the election.
2) There have been no further terrorist attacks in the US since 9/11. Major positive for Bush.
3) The timing of the economy recovery is a plus for Bush. Job growth and consumer confidence are rising and will provide support for Bush in November.
4) Most importantly, if the Clintons thought Bush was beatable in 2004, Hillary would be running for President. She is not. She wants to run against a Republican in 2008 and so the Clintons will use their political influence to subtly undermine Kerry, just as they did with Gore in 2000. That's the clincher.
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