Do you STILL believe the "polls"???
Polipundit
MISSOURI GAY MARRIAGE BAN
The pre-election "polls"
Date: August 2, 2004
Source: The Associated Press and ABC
Poll: "A recent poll showed that about 60 percent of Missouri voters support the amendment [to ban gay marriage]." (Emphasis added.)
The actual result
Date: August 4, 2004
Source: Voters
Tally: The ban on gay marriage passes with more than 70 percent of the vote.
Hmm. That "poll" was only off by . . . more than 10 percentage points.
THE CALIFORNIA RECALL ELECTION
The pre-election "polls"
Date: September 12, 2003
Source: The Associated Press and CBS
Poll: Arnold Schwartzenegger at 25 percent.
The actual result
Date: October 7, 2003
Source: Voters
Tally: Arnold receives 48.6 percent.
Hmm. That "poll" was only off by . . . about 100 percent.
THE 2002 FLORIDA GOVERNOR'S RACE
The pre-election "polls"
Date: October 23, 2002
Source: InsiderAdvantage tracking poll
Poll: McBride leads Jeb Bush, 49-45.
Date: September 29, 2002
Source: St. Petersburg Times
Poll: Bush leads McBride by only six points, 50-44.
Date: October 27, 2002
Source: Miami Herald
Poll: Bush leads McBride by eight points, 51-43, with six percent of the electorate "undecided."
The actual result
Date: November 5, 2002
Source: Voters
Tally: Bush crushes McBride, by 13 full percentage points.
Hmm. That seems odd. All three of those "polls" understated Bush's support by huge margins.
All of this must be coincidence.
Right?
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