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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 305.32-0.2%Dec 29 4:00 PM EST

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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (17625)8/5/2004 2:07:49 AM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (2) of 95646
 
If we remove LTXX, PLAB, AMAT, FSII and CMOS (companies not included in your earnings table) from the 7/30 weekly update table you posted, we get a group share price of $341.95. Earnings for the group of 20 totaled $3.89 or, put another way, equal to $15.56 for a yearly number (if multiplied by 4). This gives the group of 20 who have reported a combined PE of 22 based on the current numbers multiplied by 4.

If we remove the above 5 stocks from your weekly update's next year's estimates, we get expected earnings for the group of 20 reporting stocks of $26.86 (or 72% growth over the $15.56 figure). Forward PE for the group of 20 is 12.7 based on the 7/30 closing total of $341.95.

A forward PE of less then 13 for stocks expected to grow eps by over 70%.

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