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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 306.040.0%Dec 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Return to Sender who wrote (17953)8/11/2004 10:56:58 AM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (1) of 95639
 
The SOX went from 209 to 560 or up 351 pts. We've now retraced almost 200 of those points or over 57%. Forward guidance still is flat to up for most semi companies and these companies are showing awesome bottom line performance versus the past 2+ years.

If we view the run from the March 03 low of 258, we've retraced 200 of the 300 pts of the move up.

Ugly or not, it is amazing that the cash flow and bottom line improvements for these companies are being completely discounted by the market. PEs under 10 for companies hitting on all cylinders.

While I know I'm a bit early, it's still time to consider picking up stock here, imo. I've bought 1500 shares today of one of my micro caps that have been totally destroyed, fwiw. I'm eyeing a few others and I've bought a few companies in this week that have actually seen a rebound in the past 2 days.

I have a greater risk tolerance then many who post their thoughts here but I think it's time to start selectively "going against the grain" with the full understanding that I'm "early to the party".

jmo

mh
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