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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 117.61+3.0%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: long-gone who wrote (1349)8/24/1997 11:03:00 PM
From: Richnorth   of 116815
 
We hear from a credible source:
that Warren Buffett is buying
zero coupon long-term
Treasury bonds on a large scale.
We picked this information
up from zero coupon bond desks at
some of Wall Street's biggest firms.
Five of the biggest bond dealers
report inquiries from Berkshire
Hathaway, an account that rarely
ventures into bonds. According to
our information Berkshire Hathaway
has been quietly buying zero coupon
U.S. Treasury bonds in 20- to
23-year maturities since late July.
If the rumor is true, Buffett
and his partner, Charlie Munger,
may be betting on a recession or at
least a business slowdown, either of
which could drop interest rates and
thereby push up the prices of
long-term bonds. The pair rarely buy
bonds except to speculate on price
rises. Long-term zero coupon
Treasurys are a pure way of
speculating on falling interest rates.
Has the sage of Omaha
concluded that the stock market is
overpriced and long bonds
underpriced? We simply do not
know. Buffett didn't return our call.
No surprise there. His office
reminded us that he never comments
on what he's buying or selling.
In short, this could be a very
big deal, a real sign of a market top.
Or it could just be some portfolio
reshuffling in a multibillion-dollar
portfolio.
All we know for sure is that
Berkshire is buying long Treasurys.
One venerable zeros trader says
he'd never previously done a trade
with the Berkshire
account--evidence that the giant
investment company could be
spreading business around to
disguise the size of its order. "You
don't get much information from that
account," our source says.
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