Is there anyone in the country who voted for Gore in 2000 who NOW would vote for shrub?
Maybe 2 or 3 people?
Is there anyone in 2000 who voted for shrub who NOW won't?
Maybe 20,000 or 30,000? Or more?
Out of those who didn't vote in 2000, what % favor which candidate?
From a poll in May '04
A mere 40 percent of 18-29 year olds think that America is headed in the right direction, while 58 percent of young voters think the country is on the wrong track. For voters of all ages, the right direction/wrong track spread--a key indicator of voter sentiment in an election year--was 38 percent to 58 percent.
"...young voters seem intent on giving Bush bad reviews on a host of issues. Their criticisms of the president’s handling of the economy are blistering: 56 percent say they disapprove of the president’s handling of economic issues; 42 percent say they approve. When asked how they felt about Bush’s handling of domestic issues like health care, education, the environment and energy, 46 percent of 18-29 year olds said they approved and 52 percent disapproved.
Only 44 percent of young voters approved of the president’s prosecution of the war, while fully 56 percent said they disapproved.
Indeed, Iraq clearly weighs heavily on the minds of young voters, perhaps in part because they are concerned that ongoing conflict there could affect their own lives. In recent months, lawmakers--including Congressman Charlie Rangel (D-NY) and Senators Fritz Holling (D-SC) and Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.)--have urged that a draft for military service be reintroduced in the United States. While a clear majority of 18-29 year olds, 63 percent, think it is unlikely that the draft will be reinstated, a sizeable proportion, 36 percent, think it is likely the draft will come back. When asked if they would serve if drafted into the military, 62 percent of young voters said they would serve while 36 percent said they would not.
msnbc.msn.com
By July:
"The most noteworthy shifts in young voter opinion are on international issues. In May, more than half (55 percent) of voters 18 to 29 supported the president’s handling of foreign policy issues and the war on terrorism, but since then his numbers have reversed. Now just 47 percent approve and half of the respondents say they (52 percent) disapprove. More potentially challenging to the Bush campaign is the fact that more than half of young voters (60 percent, up from 55 percent in May) now disapprove of the president’s handling of Iraq…."
fallacyfiles.org
Given that there's a healthy margin of error in the poll...the trend is positive in the direction against shrub. |
