Ask DrBob Message Board - Msg: 20420161

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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob

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To: Drbob512 who wrote (87237)	8/17/2004 2:56:15 PM
From: $Mogul	Read Replies (1) of 100058

Yes, crude oil is near the highs on the day, volume is very light today on both indices. What I would like to discuss is how the TNX will get near 5% eoy with a declining equity mkt. It can happen as stocks and bond prices can move in the same direction, as we saw earlier in the year. It would be ugly but I do think it is a real probability. The Transports have been holding up in a bizzarwe fashion with all time high oil prices. This is not a normal occurance. They may break lower when reality sets in for before next quater. Yes, just technical rally off high 9500's 9600 or so off the RNC. Then I see a retest and possibley a break. Afterthe election I do see a rally into Q4, and then a flat Q105 before going lower again.

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