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Strategies & Market Trends : straddles and strangles

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To: charlie mcgeehan who wrote (4)8/20/2004 3:49:41 PM
From: CapitalistHogg™  Read Replies (1) of 10
 
I agree with you that the stock price is going to move drastically up or down and probably right around August 27. Even with legging in it looks like straddling or strangling would be very difficult given the high Implied Volatility/Historical Volatility ratio making the option very expensive. Even with an extreme move in stock price the volatility will most certainly crash making the option less expensive. I ran several scenarios' with my option position simulator and while you could make some money it was dependent on the IV staying above 70%.

Good luck.
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