Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (52519)	8/22/2004 7:19:27 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) of 74559

The energy matrix will change over time, Malcom. It doesn't mean that alternatives will be found for every use of petroleum derivatives. What will happen is that there are obvious alternatives and depending on their costs they will stop relying on oil. Brazil will crack petroleum, extract the derivatives it needs, and export gasoline and diesel. Cars will run on bio-diesel and ethanol. The changes in the energy matrix will then percolate throughout the whole economy. Aluminum -whose cost is 70% eletricity- will become costlier and would be replaced by other metal. Aluminum production phased out in high energy cost countries and sent to places where electricity is cheaper. A company planning to build an smelter today, may be thinking about that right now.

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