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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Neocon who wrote (611859)8/27/2004 11:59:31 AM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) of 769670
 
Neo, you are correct --- the evidence will not meet a high level of statistical confidence. (Mostly because of the small data set.)

Never-the-less, that is the direction (since WW II) in which the evidence points: spending is HIGHER when EITHER PARTY has sole control of the levers of power in Washington (specifically: the Congress, which appropriates, and the Presidency, which approves... the Judiciary having far less impact on gross spending).

The opposite political condition (popularly know as 'gridlock') also provides evidence that is consistent with this conclusion: the only recent times of relative spending moderation were when 'gridlock' prevailed.

This conclusion also pass the commonsense 'smell' test: It is simply reasonable that conditions of gridlock would see lower spending bills passed. This is because bills can only pass with consensus --- wild flights of spending by either Party are restrained by the other.
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