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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA

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To: J.T. who wrote (18558)8/28/2004 12:20:43 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 19219
 
"The stock market is now in the early stages of
significant upside advance which will carry over into early
spring of 2006"

Congratulations on your Barron's quote!

As I wrote in da cheif's forum...

"My hunch is a major top will come when bears capitulate and we get 90% sentiment levels on this chart"

Chart: home.netcom.com

Right now I think the data supports a Major Bottom is in. If you look at that chart, you can see sentiment movement and bottoms looked quite similar to the 2002 bottom and March 2003 test. The past year has been much like the market making a high in late 2002 after "the October bottom" then testing that low in March of 2003.

I think we need the NASDAQ to get through the blue resistance line on this chart
stockcharts.com[l,a]dacayyay[d20020101,20041231][df][pa1890!b200!f][vc60][iUb21!Lc20]&pref=G
to return it to support rather than resistance. RSI, CMF and sentiment are correctly alligned to help cut through that resistance like a knife through hot butter... but it has to do it first. My guess is it will do this when Bush gets a kick from the convention and oil crashes through its $42.50 red resistance level here stockcharts.com[l,a]daclyyay[d19980601,20061231][pa25!a42.5!f][vc60]&pref=G
next week.

It looks like the SPX has already gone through resistance
stockcharts.com[l,a]dacayyay[d20030901,20041231][pb50!a1080!f][vc60]&r=4994
so I think we are on our way and need the Nasdaq to confirm.
Kirk
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