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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: Brent D. Beal who wrote (4596)8/25/1997 10:45:00 PM
From: Brent D. Beal   of 13594
 
I notice that no self-respecting traders even bother to defend this stock any more. I predict the following series of events: 1) defections for the AOL network will start to get more press, 2) advances by MSN and other providers will start to get more press, 3) some analysts will "discover" that earnings may not develop as quickly as expected and drop earnings projections (either that or AOL will have to come out guide analysts lower or they'll just miss the numbers and the stock will really tank), 4) the AOL bubble will start to deflate, just a little at a time, maybe a point here and a point there until we drop below $60, and 5) then it's a race for the exits. This stock isn't going to find a bottom until it hits $30.
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