Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking Message Board

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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking

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To: redfish who started this subject	9/9/2004 12:08:56 AM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) of 26024

Most recent update is not good. nhc.noaa.gov HURRICANE IVAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT WED SEP 08 2004 IVAN WENT THROUGH A PERIOD OF RAPID DEEPENING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE CENTRAL PRESSURE FALLING FROM 951 TO 938 MB IN A PERIOD OF ABOUT 5.5 HOURS. THE MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT LEVEL-WINDS WERE 131 KT...AND A NORTHEAST EYEWALL DROPSONDE SUGGESTED SURFACE WINDS NEAR 120 KT. BASED ON THE DROPSONDE AND THE PRESSURE...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 125 KT...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 127 KT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA. THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE OF THE HURRICANE HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE THE HURRICANE HUNTER LEFT...SO IT IS UNKNOWN IF THE DEEPENING HAS CONTINUED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY COULD BE A LITTLE CONSERVATIVE. nhc.noaa.gov

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