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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: NickSE who wrote (69303)9/11/2004 11:08:16 PM
From: NickSE  Read Replies (1) of 793917
 
Big Explosion Reported in N.Korea
abcnews.go.com

Sept. 11, 2004 — SEOUL (Reuters) - A huge explosion rocked an area in North Korea near the border with China three days ago and the accident appears to be much worse than a train blast that killed at least 170 people in April, Yonhap news agency reported on Sunday.

The blast in Yangkang on Thursday was seen from a satellite but the cause had yet to be determined, Yonhap quoted an unnamed source in Beijing as saying.

Atomic Activity in North Korea Raises Concerns
nytimes.com

...One official with access to the intelligence called it "a series of indicators of increased activity that we believe would be associated with a test," saying that the "likelihood" of a North Korean test had risen significantly in just the past four weeks.

It was that changed assessment that led to the decision to give an update to President Bush, the officials said.

The activities included the movement of materials around several suspected test sites, including one near a location where intelligence agencies reported last year that conventional explosives were being tested that could compress a plutonium core and set off a nuclear explosion. But officials have not seen the classic indicators of preparations at a test site, in which cables are laid to measure an explosion in a deep test pit.

"I'm not sure you would see that in a country that has tunnels everywhere," said one senior official who has reviewed the data. Officials said if North Korea proceeded with a test, it would probably be with a plutonium bomb, perhaps one fabricated from the 8,000 spent nuclear fuel rods that the North has boasted in the past few months have been reprocessed into bomb fuel.

A senior intelligence official noted Saturday that even if "they are doing something, it doesn't mean they will" conduct a test, noting that preparations that the North knew could be detected by the United States might be a scare tactic or negotiating tactic by the North Korean government.

Several officials speculated that the test, if it occurred, could be intended to influence the presidential election, though a senior military official said while "an election surprise" could be the motive, "I'm not sure what that would buy them."...
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