Bush, Kerry tied nationally, paper says
President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are in a statistical tie among voters nationally, according to a Sept. 14-18 poll conducted for Investor's Business Daily.
Bush had the backing of 45 percent of the 650 adults 18 or older identified as likely to vote, compared with 42 percent for Kerry. The poll by Oradell, N.J.-based TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
Bush may be building a lead over Kerry, a four-term Massachusetts senator, as the focus on the president's National Guard service during the Vietnam War subsides, Investor's Business Daily reported pollster Raghavan Mayur as saying.
Ralph Nader drew the backing of 2 percent of voters surveyed in the latest poll.
Among all registered voters, the margin between Bush and Kerry is 1 percentage point, according to the poll. In the 2000 election about a third of registered voters didn't cast ballots.
A review of state-by-state polls and historical voting data by Bloomberg News shows Bush ahead in 22 states, including Texas and Ohio, with 187 electoral votes.
Kerry leads in 10 states, including New York and Maryland, with 153 electoral votes.
In the remaining 18 states, which have 198 electoral votes, including Pennsylvania and Minnesota, results of the most recent polls are within the margin of error.
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