ARG polls everywhere by kos
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Thu Sep 23rd, 2004 at 05:37:50 GMT
dailykos.com
ARG was supposed to trickle these out, but they apparently said 'screw it' and just posted them all...
americanresearchgroup.com
The best Republican states? Wyoming gives Bush 65 percent, Utah 64 percent, and South Dakota 62 percent (which is why Daschle and Herseth face such tough races).
The best Democratic states? Mass with 64 percent for Kerry, Rhode Island 58 percent, and Connecticut with 54 percent.
The bottom line?
George W. Bush is at 47% and John Kerry is at 46% in the weighted national popular vote.
Bush leads outside the margin of error in 17 states with 133 electoral votes.
Kerry leads outside the margin of error in 10 states with 132 electoral votes.
Bush has any lead in 29 states with 253 electoral votes.
Kerry has any lead in 20 states with 270 electoral votes.
Bush and Kerry are tied in Wisconsin and West Virginia.
Bush needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Ohio.
Kerry needs to defend small leads in 5 states - Maine, Florida, Minnesota, Oregon, and Pennsylvania.
Things could look a lot worse for our side. And given that Kerry has pulled a point or three back in just about every recent national survey, it looks like we've got the Big Mo'. |
