Acquiring Noranda, China trades dollar surplus for hard assets
China Steps Up Overseas Hunt for Raw Materials
By Bill Rigby and Steve James Reuters Friday, September 24, 2004
reuters.com
NEW YORK -- China Minmetals Corp.'s move to buy Noranda Inc., the Canadian copper and zinc miner, is the next step in China's great march to becoming an industrial powerhouse, experts said on Friday.
With an apparently insatiable hunger for raw materials to fuel its economic growth, China has massively increased investments in overseas mining projects for metals in the past two years, and more is likely to follow.
That trend broke new ground on Friday when both companies said state-owned China Minmetals plans to buy Noranda -- the world's No. 3 zinc and No. 9 copper producer -- in a mostly cash deal worth more than $4.7 billion (C$6 billion).
"Because of its large level of consumption, it makes sense for them to acquire assets outside of China so they can guarantee supplies," said Francisco Alzuru, a portfolio manager specializing in emerging markets, at Hansberger Global Investors.
"It means they are in this for the long term and can also take a share of those profits," he said, as prices of raw materials stick around long-time highs, mostly driven by demand from China's red-hot economy.
"China is one the largest accumulators or reserves in the world. Instead of coming and buying more (U.S.) Treasury bills and lowering the yields, they might as well buy hard assets."
Chip Hanlon, domestic strategist with Euro Pacific Capital, a $300 million fund with some 10 percent invested in mining stocks, said it appeared to be a logical move for the Chinese.
"They have a huge appetite for raw materials. If they feel they have to secure sources of raw goods, we will probably see more, and the same thing in the procurement of oil."
Jay Taylor, who publishes an investment newsletter specializing in mining -- Gold and Technology Stocks -- said the deal was an obvious way for China to not only own a source of metals but also develop its own untapped resources.
"China does not have the mining know-how and they want to bring in the expertise to find their own resources," he said. "It makes a lot of sense as China has to import so much raw material."
Taylor said China has the capital to do such deals. "They don't really want Noranda looking for metals elsewhere but in China. So why not go out and buy a mining company?"
He said China has untapped mineral resources and the dependence on buying raw materials from elsewhere to fuel its economic growth was putting strains on shipping and transportation.
"No doubt there are plenty of metals in China and it makes sense to dig them yourself instead of letting someone like Robert Friedland find them and take them home."
Friedland's Ivanhoe Mines is currently developing vast copper and gold deposits in Mongolia and says it is on track to begin output in early 2007.
Among recent Chinese forays into international mining operations, Jiangxi Copper signed a letter of intent with Ivanhoe in June to study possibilities of taking a stake in the Canadian mining promoter's Oyu Tolgoi project in Mongolia.
Brazil's Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, the world's largest iron ore miner, earlier this year signed deals worth $5 billion to supply iron ore, alumina, and steel to China's resource-hungry factories. In return, state-controlled Chinese firms will help pay to build a steel plant and an alumina refinery in Brazil.
A senior executive at U.S. copper miner Phelps Dodge Corp. said recently that although China was at least 10 years away from mining its own mineral deposits, it was likely to eventually become a world mining power.
"But the amount of infrastructure that's required to bring a new mine into production in a region like that is large," said President and Chief Operating Officer Timothy Snider.
"Fully developing a minerals industry in China to the level that can support that kind of economy is probably decades away," he told Reuters.
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