PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH Message Board

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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

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From: Knight	10/3/2004 3:55:14 PM
	Read Replies (2) of 769670

Polls Stubborn for Kerry Despite Debate "Win" The latest Rasmussen poll has Bush back in the lead over Kerry 49% to 45%. This is a rolling three day period with 2/3 of the interviews taking place after the debate. Since yesterday's three-day number showed a slightly smaller Bush margin, that implies that Saturday's interviews must've been even more strongly in Bush's favor than 49%-45%. Some may point to the recent Newsweek poll for contrary evidence; however, before doing so, they should be aware that there are some serious irregularities with that poll. The following post from Lindybill over on the moderated "Politics for Pros" thread explains: Message 20594570 See also the followup from Gus: Message 20594768 While I'm not quite ready to subscribe to Gus's conspiratorial view of how the pre- and post-debate polls got so skewed, it is unarguable that the disparity between the proportion of Republicans and Democrats in the two polls makes any sort of apples-to-apples comparison suspect. I think Kerry's problem is two-fold: 1) Voters are now starting to understand that his views are decidedly to the left of the mainstream. A well-articulated position in a debate may win my admiration for presentation skills, but if I don't agree with what's presented, it doesn't win my vote. In fact it makes the contrast to my own views crystal clear. 2) Voter's don't trust John Kerry. No matter what specific position Kerry takes on the war, Republicans can find a quotation from his own mouth that contradicts that position. The salesman at the corner used car lot may be a better talker than a friend whose earned my trust, but I'd much prefer to buy a used car from my friend, and the fact that he may stutter a bit when he describes the car to me doesn't alter in any way that trust. That's the advantage Bush has. He has earned our trust.

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