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Politics : Idea Of The Day

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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (8277)8/27/1997 11:41:00 AM
From: Joe S Pack   of 50167
 
Thread,
I have been out of this thread for more than 16 hours and need to go through 80+ articles. It seems Henry from LGND also started posting
about an "IMPORTANT" trial result today. Somebody mentioned that
LGND is a longterm play. I agree completly with that assumption.
But it is also a short term play (till Feb. 98) for two reasons:
1) Some more trial results will be out by then.
2) they have a road shown in Sep. (6 presentations in conferences
etc.). They won't do it unless tehy have something good to
reveal.
3) These trial results will provide momentum for new deals.
Since last year teh management has been promissing some
solid deals and it did not occur till to date. One of the
reasons may be due to pending trial result.
4) In January there is H&Q cinference where important announcements
presentations are given to teh investment community. Usually
these biotechs peak around that time (I may be wrong on this
point on some of the companies as they are news, trials and
contract driven).
So I think it is a good play on both scales.

I just loaded some more Feb. 15 calls to my bag.
(Guestimate for Feb. 98 target is $20 - $30/share).

All the best.
-Karun
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