Not only did the September new jobs report come in more than 50,000 short of expectations, the number crunchers also revised August figures and lost another 16,000 paychecks. It is unusual for revisions to go negative in an election year; generally, the numbers are recrunched into a more appealing shape, under pressure to re-elect whichever party is currently in office and in control of the crunchers. But sometimes the statistics don't cooperate. Sometimes it is the statisticians.
What's more, more than a third of the jobs created in September were the sort for which the term "gainful employment" hardly applies. They were jobs with the federal and local governments, the sort of jobs that drain away both capital and labor, rather than put it to productive use.
If this were a "normal" recovery, points out The Liscio Report, by way of Barron's, the nation would have 9.3 million more jobs. The new jobs would be providing new income, which could be used for new purchases. Instead, the economy bumbles along - with more and more people going further and further underwater and counting on their houses to bail them out.
In September, Barron's reports, "Even though the population grew by 264,000, the labor force shrank by 221,000. Over the past year, it has expanded less than half as rapidly as has the population and a mere one-third of the rate it enjoyed from 1990-2000."
Jobless recovery? Jobless it is. Recovery it ain't.
--- Daily Reckoning |