Bush is actually the one behind now, though it remains virtually tied. This poll, like all other polls, completely ignored the estimated 5,000,000 new younger and more minority voters who are not "likely" voters, but will vote, and who use only cvell phones so cannot be polled. Even without them though the race is a tie and Kerry is showing signs of gaining leads in Ohio, Wisc and other battleground states. Bush looks like he will probably take Colorado though. Maybe.
CNN) -- Although Americans think Sen. John Kerry did the best job in the debates, the Democratic nominee appears to have lost some ground to President Bush in the popularity contest, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Sunday.
The poll interviewed 1,013 adult Americans by telephone Thursday through Saturday, including 942 who identified themselves as registered voters and 788 who indicated they were likely to vote.
In the previous Gallup poll, taken October 9-10 after the second debate on October 8, Kerry and Bush were tied at 48 percent among registered voters. (Full story)
The latest poll, taken after the third and final debate last Wednesday in Tempe, Arizona, indicated an edge of 49 percent to 46 percent for Bush among the same group.
That is still practically even -- given the margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The October 9-10 poll had a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
* This year, registered voters might be all likely, and even more voters who support Kerry mainly aren't even being polled. |
