SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Ilaine who wrote (6661)10/18/2004 3:42:51 PM
From: carranza2   of 6710
 
My sense is that Bush is somehow, I can't figure out how, pulling ahead.

Agreed.

You are seeing decisions being made by a lot of folks who said they were in Kerry's camp to vote for Bush. The reasons are multiple, but have as a theme the fact that the Two Johns are not simpatico. They are getting rejected by the voters as someone they would date but not marry.

It is easy for television to capture hypocrisy and pandering--the debates served to establish that Kerry will say and do anything to get a vote, no matter how untrue or distasteful. He is promising huge tax cuts and tons of spending on domestic and security initiatives but the voter who works with a household budget knows that it is impossible to have guns and butter. In short, Kerry is beginning to feel the voters' resentment for his patronizing words. He treats them like they're stupid, and it is starting to hurt him politically as his words get parsed.

Bush's campaign has been blunder-free for the past three weeks or so while the same cannot be said of the Two Johns'. The Mary Cheney and the Christopher Reeves incidents were mistakes, with the M. Cheney matter being a significant one.

Little John has lost whatever charm and appeal he might have had when he had his wife show her nails/claws at Lynne Cheney for defending her daughter. Stupid, stupid, stupid. The Kerry campaign should have issued an apology right away. They didn't because they are getting their heads handed to them and are not focused nor cool-headed.

I'm beginning to think that the election won't be as close as I thought it would originally be. I'm reminded of an econometrician [Kerry supporter] who has devised some wildly successful means of predicting elections who said long ago it would be a landslide for the GOP. I'll see if I can find his material.

Edit: Here it is. Defintely worth reading:

nytimes.com
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News