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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Neocon who wrote (148485)10/21/2004 1:47:54 PM
From: Michael Watkins  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
After 9/11, it is reasonable that Bush should consider taking Saddam out directly.

Why? Where is the *hard* evidence needed to justify this? There hasn't been any.

Everything in their (lack of) planning suggests total overconfidence in the military plan. Everything in their (lack of) planning for post invasion occupation suggests total ignorance of the ground game.

Reading declassified memos from past administrations reminds me that frequently the simple answer is the right one. Therefore

- The most apt comparison is that Bush was looking to pick a fight with the weakling in the neighborhood (Iraq).

- The simple explanation for wanting to invade Iraq? "Because we could".

In my opinion, Bush got it wrong, had no justification to use as a decent pretext, and I have serious doubts that any grander vision he may have had (or Wolfowitz et al) will turn out well.
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