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Politics : Bush-The Mastermind behind 9/11?

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To: sea_urchin who wrote (8614)10/22/2004 4:18:50 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) of 20039
 
Just as I told you...(*)

Would Turkey split the EU and the U.S. ?

By Ian Bremmer International Herald Tribune

Friday, October 22, 2004


[...]
This is where Turkey comes in. The entry of Turkey into the European Union - at least a decade away by most estimates - will immediately add tens of millions of Muslims to the population of Europe. And the European Union will then border Iran, Iraq and Syria.

What effect does this have on Europe's relationship with Washington? Long-term, Turkey's inclusion in the EU causes real trouble for the United States, because it makes a permanent rift between Europe and the United States, along the lines seen recently over Iraq (where Turkey's position was already closer to Paris and Berlin than to Washington), much more likely. The addition of Turkey's armed forces makes a common European defense more feasible - which makes NATO less necessary.

While Turkey might bring its traditionally strong relationship with Israel into the EU, it is more likely that a newly self-confident European Turkey will loosen its bonds with both Israel and America (**). The addition of Turkey's Muslim population - already over 70 million - to the rest of Europe's Muslims will swing Europe further from America than ever on conflicts in the Middle East.

George W. Bush, like his recent White House predecessors, has consistently promoted Turkey's entry into the EU - and been scolded by many Europeans for interference in European politics as a result. Given the likely effect on U.S.-European relations, Washington's support for Turkey's entry no longer makes sense. On the other hand, perhaps President Bush understands Europe better than most think. Maybe he figures a Bush endorsement of Turkey's entry is the best way to keep Turkey out.

iht.com

(*) You heard it here first:
Message 20285775

(**) Message 20213160
Message 20289293
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