Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry Message Board

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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry

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To: Karen Lawrence who wrote (54128)	10/22/2004 1:41:22 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Read Replies (1) of 81568

This study is correct from what I have seen talking to people even here in information rich California. However, at this late stage, I think it does not matter who is ahead in the popular vote (since it is a statistical tie). As long as this stays within the margin of the tie, the electoral college scenario takes precedence just like we saw in 2000. If the candidates poll numbers have a spread outside of the margin of error, then it is safe to assume that the popular vote will also reflect the Electoral College numbers. So far, Kerry is poised to do what Bush did in 2000; maybe loose out on the popular vote but get the electoral college vote and become President. It is Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania that he is most likely to carry and between Wis. MN and Iowa he is most likely to carry 2 of the 3. 11 more days and we shall see who the undecideds (I believe it is now 11%) break for.

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