John Kerry for President? Message Board

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Politics : John Kerry for President?

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (3033)	10/25/2004 6:07:10 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) of 3515

Just wait. Some are predicting 120+ million voters, which means 30+ million more than 2000, which means very bad news for GW Bush since new voters trend 2.5 to 1 for Kerry. This could easily put Kerry over 50% and more important ahead in Ohio and Florida both. It is extremely difficult for pollsters to poll colleges, post-college areas and lower income neighborhoods. So difficult they don't really even try to. Problem is, we may have 10+ million new "unlikely" voters from those places voting next Tuesday, perhaps as high as 90% for Kerry. More than enough to turn a 5% Bush lead into a Kery victory. So the pollsters are freaking, knowing they may completely miscall the election. I was on Rasmussen's case about this a few weeks ago. I notice he shows Kerry ahead now. Maybe he's trying to correct his models.

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