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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: LindyBill who wrote (80745)10/26/2004 12:47:20 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) of 793957
 
State Poll Update
I found a whole slew of decent FL polls and one more NH polls here are tonight's updates:
Bush: 47.9%
Kerry: 45.5%
MOE: +/- 1.3%
(Based upon 9 polls; 5,902 respondents)

Given this result, we can be 99.56% confident that George W. Bush presently has a lead.

Given this result, we can be 95% confident that George W. Bush presently has a .9% lead.

As you can see, Florida is appearing increasingly likely to go for W. NH is trending in the other direction, though there are not enough polls to make a decisive conclusion):

Bush: 44.9%
Kerry: 46.8%
MOE: +/- 2.1%
(Based upon 3 polls; 2,078 respondents)

Given this result, we can be 85% confident that John Kerry presently has a lead. jaycost.blogspot.com
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