Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry Message Board

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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry

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To: redfish who wrote (54558)	10/26/2004 12:57:27 PM
From: redfish	Read Replies (2) of 81568

Gallup's Florida Poll Is A Laugher As Well Fretting over Kerry’s chances in Florida based on last night’s CNN/USAT/Gallup poll which showed Bush surging out to a 8% LV lead over Kerry (51%-43%), and a remarkable 9% RV lead (51%-42%) over Kerry? Don’t be. Check out the ridiculous sample that Gallup used to come up with those numbers: Likely Voter Sample TOTAL: 768 Rep: 341 (44%) Dem: 273 (36%) Ind: 146 (19%) Registered Voter Sample TOTAL: 909 Rep: 387 (43%) Dem: 321 (35%) Ind: 187 (21%) Please, please, please. Gallup is telling you that if the election were held this week in Florida, that with 95% confidence Bush would claim an 8% win over Kerry, and that the GOP would have an 8% advantage at the polls over the Democrats. They also want you to believe that there is an 8% advantage for the GOP over the Democrats in registered voters in the state if the election were held this week. Now I know that Jeb and Ms. Hood are good at tossing out Democratic ballots, but I don’t think they are that good. Besides, other polls out in the last day show that Kerry is ahead of Bush in Florida. For example, ARG shows Kerry with a 3% lead amongst LVs today, and Survey USA shows a 2% Kerry lead amongst LVs, with Betty Castor beating Mel Martinez for Senate as well. Yet Gallup wants you to believe that Bush will have an 8% advantage. Sure. theleftcoaster.com [at the moment 40% of Florida's electorate is dems, 37% repubs]

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