Ohio: Bush 50% Kerry 46%
Survey of 565 Likely Voters
October 19-25, 2004
Ohio 2004
Presidential Ballot
Bush 50%
Kerry 46%
Other 2%
Not Sure 2%
RasmussenReports.com
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October 26, 2004--One week to go and President George W. Bush has pulled ahead in the critical battleground state of Ohio. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows the President with 50% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 46%.
A week ago, the candidates were tied at 47%. Two weeks ago, immediately prior to the final debate, Rasmussen Reports data showed the President ahead by two percentage points, 49% to 47%. Four years ago, the President earned a four-point margin of victory over Al Gore.
There has been talk that Ohio could be the "Florida of 2004." However, if current trends hold, Florida may once again be the center of the electoral storm. Our latest poll in the Sunshine State finds the candidates tied at 48%.
While the President's position has improved, the Buckeye State remains a Toss-Up for our Electoral College projections. Generally, we require a five-percentage point lead before moving a state out of the Toss-Up category.
Rasmussen Reports Premium Members receive daily Tracking Poll updates on Ohio along with Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. Premium Members also receive weekly updates on fifteen states along with other benefits.
Fifty-four percent (54%) of Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of the President. That's up from 51% a week ago, but identical to the number from two weeks ago.
Forty-eight percent (48%) have a favorable opinion of Senator Kerry. That's down from 49% a week ago and 53% two weeks ago.
The President's Job Approval is currently at 53% in Ohio. That's up from 51% a week ago and 50% the week before.
Ninety-one percent (91%) of Bush voters in the state say they are "certain" they will vote for the President. That's little changed from earlier releases.
Among Kerry voters, 87% are now certain they will vote for him. That's up from 84% a week ago but but down from 89% before the final debate.
Selected demographics and other information are available for Premium Members.
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