Are the Democrats Heading for a Disaster in the U.S. Senate?
POLIPUNDIT - Full disclosure first:
My personal prediction, up until very recently, had been that the GOP would gain a net of three seats in the U.S. Senate.
But now?
I’m thinking this could be a train wreck for the Democratic Party.
GOP hopeful David Vitter now is tracking at 51 percent in Louisiana.
RCP is reporting that Rasmussen has John Thune leading Daschle by three points in S.D., with only five percent undecided.
Once-lost GOP candidates, Richard Burr and Tom Coburn, appear to have sealed their respective races, apparently in spite of themselves.
Democrats who are clinging to polls out of Colorado need to go and talk to Wayne Allard’s opponent from 2002, before getting too giddy about their true prospects in that race.
And we’re not even hearing much if anything from the liberal media about the Murkowski-Knowles race, which must mean, by definition, that Murkowski is poised to hold the seat.
Of course, Georgia and South Carolina always were locks for the GOP; whereas, Illinois always has been a certain pick up for the Democrats.
So, the new over/under for the U.S. Senate is . . . . drum roll . . . . GOP + 4.
Note: For a more comprehensive set of analyses of the U.S. Senate races, see here and here.
UPDATE: A more recent analysis by NRO’s John Miller is here. I had linked to an out-of-date version by mistake. I regret any inconvienence that might have caused. And, further, here’s a link to a blog that’s devoted to following the Senate races.
-- Jayson polipundit.com |
