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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: mishedlo who wrote (20835)	10/28/2004 12:06:57 PM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (2) of 110194

Today's polls, divide it all up (+16 bush/8 polls)and Bush has a two point lead. Wash Post Kerry + 1 Zogby Bush + 2 LA Times tie Newsweek Bush + 2 Rasmussen Bush + 2 Tipp Bush + 3 ICR Bush + 3 Gallup Bush + 5 (considered the worst poll) For Kerry to win, he needs help from the undecided incumbent rule (when President have average,low approval ratings, or are under 50%, only two polls show Bush at 50%), which suggest that they go about 2 to 1 for the challenger, mydd.com mysterypollster.com some validity to the cell phone only users outlier (which holds that they are mostly young, urbane, Kerry leaners, and don't get properly polled, spin??), cnn.com the big turnout (big increase in registration): csmonitor.com and lucky state breaks. electoral-vote.com On the turn out score weather does look cold and rainy in the industrial belt battleground states: hurricane.accuweather.com

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