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Politics : Proof that John Kerry is Unfit for Command
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To: redfish who wrote (22794)10/28/2004 2:33:09 PM
From: redfish  Read Replies (1) of 27181
 
Which base is more energized? That's easy: the Democrats. If you ask Kerry supporters whether the 2004 election is the most important in their lifetimes, like Newsweek did, 37 percent say yes. Ask Bush supporters the same question, and only 27 percent say yes. And even if Kerry supporters tell you that the 2004 election isn't the most important of their lifetimes, 40 percent still say that it is more important than others. By contrast, only 35 percent of the Bush supporters think this election is more important than others.

This intensity shows up in other ways. Recently the Annenberg Public Policy Center asked committed voters whether they were following the election very closely. Fifty-four percent of Kerry voters said yes -- three points more than the 51 percent of Bush backers who agreed.

Combine this level of intensity with the fact that both campaigns are playing to their base, and you see why the election is so difficult to call. Strategists in both camps agree that the result may hinge on turnout. Devine told reporters to expect turnout in the 118 million range -- millions more than in 2000. "Potentially it could be higher," Devine said. He sure hopes so. Higher turnout historically favors Democrats.

cbsnews.com
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