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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: Bridge Player who wrote (81747)10/29/2004 3:24:41 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) of 793830
 
>Since 1968, the Democrat presidential candidate's share of the non-black vote has typically crested at no higher than 39 percent.

I would love to know the source for this data. I find this impossible to believe.


Sounds plausible to me.

Even when Democrats have won, it's been close, and since they usually got 90% of the black vote, which is about 11% of the electorate, they didn't need to get much more than 40% of the white vote. Remember also that 1968, 1980 and 1992 were three way races in which the third party candidate did not appeal very much to blacks, which would lower the share of the Democratic white vote even more. The only race I would doubt is 1996. I'm sure somebody can dig up the figures, but I'm too lazy.
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