Black Box NFL Wagers Message Board

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From: mistermj	10/29/2004 4:25:42 PM
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Topic: Very interesting "double-digit home dog" trend [This looks like a pretty cool message board on wagering from the link Buckey provided]. --------------------------------------------------------------- Sorry if this has been posted already. Pretty amazing stat in the quote below regarding double-digit home pups over the last 4 weeks, courtesy of Pete Fiutak: cfbnews.com In the weekly tracking of my theory that at this point in the season, despite all reason and logic in the matchups, the double-digit home underdog almost always covers going 21-5 against the spread over the previous three weeks, the favorite went 3-4 ATS this week with the most notable gaffes being Florida vs. Mississippi State and UAB vs. Tulane. Now the count is up to 25-8 ATS over the last month, so here are the ones to watch for this week (outside of Baylor over A&M, would any of these really be superstunners if the underdog won outright?) ... - Texas -14 at Colorado - Florida State -11 at Maryland - Northern Illinois -20 at Ball State - UTEP -15.5 at San Jose State - Miami -21 at North Carolina - Iowa -11 at Illinois - Minnesota -17.5 at Indiana - West Virginia -14 at Rutgers - Auburn -17.5 at Ole Miss - Oklahoma -13 at Oklahoma State - USC -24 at Washington State - Texas A&M -22 at Baylor - Utah -16.5 at San Diego State covers.com

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