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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry

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To: American Spirit who wrote (55249)10/31/2004 3:44:14 AM
From: stockman_scottRead Replies (1) of 81568
 
A Very Comprehensive Electoral College Analysis

dailykos.com

Total Projection: Kerry 311, Bush 227

******************

*Complete state-by-state analysis at the link above but here is the conclusion:

<<...Basically, I see a very slight Kerry victory in the popular vote (between 1-2 points) coupled with a solid EC victory. I think that the numbers are favorable for Kerry in the nine critical states, and that the Repubs will simply not have an answer for the newly registered Dem voters and the ACT/Moveon/Kerry ground game. The importance of WI and NH, incidentally, cannot be overstated. I'm fairly certain that OH is going Kerry--and I think that all the facts (the fraud aside) suggest a Kerry win in FL. But I wouldn't want to bet everything on FL, nor on IA or NM. If all those go to Bush, while Kerry takes OH, then it's all about WI and NH--winning them both would earn him a 272-266 victory.

All in all, I feel very good about where things are, and Bin Laden tonight didn't change that...>>
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