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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Neocon who wrote (150190)	11/1/2004 1:50:54 PM
From: Rascal	Read Replies (1) of 281500

Third, in any given number of polls, there will be "outliers" which exceed the designated margin of error as mere statistical anomalies. The outliers can be distinguished from true readings ordinarily by their infrequency. Fourth, there are different ways that the various pollsters do things that might or might not be a result of bias, for example, reweighting results for demographic balance, particularly party affiliation, if they think that the sampling was skewed; deciding how to determine "likely voters"; and ways of wording questions that may elicit different responses even though the questions are practically identical. Neo, you affirm Jim Willie. 3rd and 4th, above, are troublesome. Very qualitative. Assumptions made by the Poll Designers. The Poll Designers stink, radar set too high. This is the death knell of the Rove-segmentation-farce which has been copied by the lemmings. The Dems have co-opted Powell's Doctrine! They responded with overwhelming force! Whole lot of head scratching goin' on! Rascal @FunToWatchRealTimeDeconstructuin.com

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