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Politics : Predict the 2004 Election

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From: KyrosL11/1/2004 8:41:08 PM
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Until late last week I thought Bush would win. But I changed my mind. Here in Florida the Democrats are mounting a monumental get out the vote effort. My house has been visited by 4 Democratic and 1 Republican teams. My phone is getting an average of 4 messages a day, all from various independent Democrat groups, some with recorded messages from famous Democrats (today it was Carolyn Kennedy) -- we are a registered Democrat house.

My prediction:

Kerry wins by 11 electoral votes

Kerry wins popular vote by 1.9%

There is no change in Senate numbers

Democrats pick up 4 seats in the House.
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