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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Michael Watkins who wrote (150266)11/1/2004 10:33:26 PM
From: michael97123  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Thank you Michael. I have read and reread this text and i have come to the conclusion that either bin laden:
1. is deathly fearful of a second bush vis a vis iraq/al queda and decided to try to validate the left wing criticism of bush by regurgitating michael moore and moveon.org propaganda with the hope of getting kerry elected.
2. OR he sees kerry as weak, vacillating and european and the type of person he can intimidate. Even if this is not true, in this scenario, kerry gets tested much like krushchev tested kennedy leading almost to nuclear annihilation in the CMC. Krushchev said publicly later on that he never would have screwed around with nixon the way he did with JFK.

Therefore i have decided to vote for Bush tomorrow morning when the polls open. My wife independently of me made the same decision because she likes bush as a person and thinks that kerry would say or do anything for political gain. She also senses that his intellect is greatly overrated compared to bush. IQ numbers of each actually bear this out.
Also, Bush 51.8 Kerry 48.8 Bush 300-325 in the EC. I think the pollsters in an attempt to figure in the obviously large turnout are now overestimating it, thus skewing their numbers. The turnout will be big but not big enough. Zogby says each one 1% in additional turnout above his model will give kerry .75%. What he doesnt say is that each 1% lower reduces kerrys total. I stand ready to be humiliated tomorrow. What do you think Michael? mike
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