I'm going to make a little prediction now, partially in the name of fun, and partially to apply some hard-won (and often painful) experience as a speculator in financial markets and betting venues.
Currently, at just before 6:00pm, 'exit polls' are coming back that Kerry is ahead - slightly - in several key states. I'm quite sure that these results are not only inaccurate, but misrepresentative of the actual situation...which I suspect is, obviously, that Bush is ahead.
My logic is this: exit polls are conducted by volunteers who wait outside polling areas for individuals to exit. The operant term here is volunteer individuals - some, indeed, likely uncompensated - conducting an essentially unscientific, loose query among voluntary respondents.
If we assume that many, if not most, of the 'exit pollsters' are men, who(m) might we assert are among the most frequently targeted exiters? And if we guess that the most frequently polled exiting voters are women - perhaps more specifically, young(er) women - should we be surprised that Kerry is ahead?
Taking a stab; take it for what it's worth, which may well be nothin' at all.
:-)
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