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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Michael Watkins who wrote (150859)11/3/2004 12:28:25 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
>> The all time low USD will happen much faster than that...

Yes. Markets are discounting mechanisms. The real problem is that at some point, the falling dollar will have a very diverse effect on foreign debt market for USD. That this has not happened in full force yet is to a good measure because foreigners are afraid that liquidating their positions will push the dollar lower and cost them even more.

BTW, I saw a Soros interview a couple of years ago when most people thought USD has gone low enough. He said he thinks the descent will continue for a few more years. That prediction was on the money. I wonder what he has to say now.

For those who care to dig more...

quotes.ino.com:801/chart/?s=NYBOT_DXY0&v=dmax
finance.yahoo.com
finance.yahoo.com

Too bad I can't find longer term charts. Btw, while you are at it, feel free to check the demgraphic trends.
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