"My guess is that it will be over 90% valid this time too... and we will see the definitive answer in 10 days or so."
We will see, you are right. I heard this number (90%) also early on, but I think it is wrong. I heard it talked about a lot afterwards and got the range of 10% to 23%. Most are bad because there is a problem with the voter to begin with, otherwise he/she would have a ballot. But for the sake of argument, let's use your figure:
156,000 provisional ballots x .9 = 140,400
136,000/140,400 = 96.8% for Kerry TO TIE
How likely is that in a state evenly divided (actually leaning Bush).
Face it, it could have been called. The dems fed you and the networks that were on their side a line of shit that bought them time to see if their lawyers could win it. You are either gullable/dumb, or are being dishonest. Only you know for sure.
And I will make a bet they are not over 90% valid. You are now on record stating that there will be 140,400 PLUS valid provisional ballots. How much you wanna bet?
And you surely don't think 96.8% would go for Kerry so he could TIE, do you? |
