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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly Buy and Sell Set Ups

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To: William JH who wrote (283)11/6/2004 11:37:18 AM
From: bull_derrick  Read Replies (1) of 13449
 
Reuters/Bridge has an online chart on its product which is known as a linear regression chart. For several years, this chart had a 200 day regression with two standard deviations for the upper and lower channels. Recently, they switched to a 150 day regresion chart, but I still like the 200 day one better.

I can't link to Bridge as you need an account to see it, but I did find a public page showing how a regression channel looks: vrtrader.com

Unfortunately, that chart graph is for intraday trading and so it moves around a lot. A 200 day regression is intended to look for stocks that are seriously out of bounds of normal trading ranges.

None of the screening programs I've used had a 200 day linear regression filter, so I wrote my own in Visual Basic. I've downloaded about 2000 symbols for exchange listed stocks and can run this to look for stocks over the 2 deviation upper range for short opportunities or under the 2 deviation lower range for long opportunities.

Just because a stock is outside its 2 deviation band may not suggest a perfect setup. I would suggest looking at a stock that is outside the band but also showing signs of reversal either in the chart or by stochastics.

I thought I'd share the output of last night's run in case the readers here might find anything of interest. The format for each line is symbol, followed by closing price, followed by the 2 deviation limit (which would be lower limit for long or upper limit for short). As you can see there are many more stocks above their 2 deviation range on the upper (short opportunity) than on the long side. Given the breakthrough on the Nasdaq of the 2000 level, I'd be more careful of the short side than the long side for setups. A lot of fund managers have their bonus riding on how the market finishes up in December and that should be supportive of the market. The smaller list of long opportunities might offer some potentials.

Potential longs:
AVNC, 2.9 , 3.86777063000278
BRLC, 1.8 , 1.91571849830484
BSTW, 9.1 , 10.0083971730996
CAU, 1.28 , 2.14529159720456
CO, 0.76 , 0.851876734601059
CRV, 5.95 , 5.99467254798077
DAR, 3.66 , 3.76002603169194
FAVS, 3.68 , 3.86401531204849
FTHR, 4.1 , 4.66995165719169
GFX, 1.39 , 1.50684079236016
GMTC, 3.8 , 3.81419349006779
HAYZ, 7.63 , 7.80286815624479
HBP, 8 , 8.18994150445076
HIHO, 3.2 , 3.6253740271229
HLD, 1.4 , 1.42498010232476
INTT, 4.25 , 4.77529292088787
IO, 7.45 , 7.83026154373227
IRIX, 4 , 4.24637688032103
NEOF, 6.36 , 6.603353376959
NGA, 1.95 , 2.00124187751899
OLAB, 1.1 , 1.20667384024433
PRGX, 5.17 , 5.21689169515475
QBAK, 4.52 , 5.14794358214206
REF, 4.2 , 4.34855813620844
RPI, 7.35 , 7.53227314567965
SCKT, 1.59 , 1.63075446787246
SGU, 6.88 , 9.61572020970687
SHLO, 9.36 , 9.66371249211744
TPTH, 6.42 , 6.51270744489513

Potential Shorts:
ABIX, 6.99 , 6.47611479478409
ABLE, 2.4 , 2.26614758380536
ABP, 2.9 , 2.66568617182128
ABY, 6.25 , 6.22762997608721
ACTI, 7.83 , 7.80456150995785
ACY, 3.03 , 2.77494953368036
ADAM, 3.48 , 3.28088431434334
ADCT, 2.4 , 2.26424956817389
ADSX, 3.77 , 3.67806462341507
AEL, 10.54 , 10.1628758650037
AGEN, 6.67 , 6.61073785210478
AHO, 7.32 , 7.04368790788439
AINN, 4.24 , 3.68690977526376
AMCC, 3.49 , 3.4792370970438
AMKR, 5.52 , 4.66755451633505
AMPL, 3.84 , 3.74254720114077
AMR, 8.93 , 8.58573611669423
AMRI, 10.21 , 10.1943559030992
AMRN, 2.25 , 1.40689192512288
APAC, 1.73 , 1.68331039291313
APCS, 10.6 , 10.2621830062678
ARDI, 6.37 , 5.22567341947596
ASGN, 5.52 , 5.24416749403838
ASPT, 10.71 , 10.675091520434
ASTT, 1.2 , 1.17449469151236
ATAR, 1.95 , 1.82075165663359
AVNX, 3.14 , 2.87254823120327
AWRE, 3.73 , 3.38764382726986
BAMM, 9.49 , 9.07131174017559
BDL, 6.7 , 6.62514890408343
BDSIC, 4 , 3.86420981506135
BEAS, 8.62 , 8.12211995164252
BFEN, 7.5 , 7.46189787084665
BFLY, 3.2 , 2.4984810550437
BFR, 6.82 , 6.58431117551177
BI, 3.14 , 3.07199288981166
BJCT, 1.35 , 1.18489499952204
BOOT, 9.03 , 8.24658415192732
BOSC, 2.37 , 2.36064009555542
BRCD, 6.88 , 6.62887518675833
BTJ, 4.65 , 4.58255340122595
BUCA, 5.07 , 4.66271522973126
BUTL, 4.08 , 3.06828083671125
CAL, 10.63 , 9.75493761004144
CAND, 5.72 , 4.92138290843774
CBR, 8.97 , 8.92106530601295
CDE, 5.21 , 5.04216855139661
CDSS, 3.28 , 3.21907301359413
CECE, 2.93 , 2.89707232843131
CFCI, 11.86 , 9.73601661695657
CHNL, 4.67 , 4.41491527973955
CIB, 9.48 , 9.40433533732025
CIEN, 2.33 , 2.20347891079337
CITP, 8.48 , 8.01902679925124
CKCM, 7.2 , 6.3088129859765
CKN, 7.6 , 7.49458140604967
CMD, 2.48 , 2.43851857308376
CMGI, 1.36 , 1.32580371650888
CMKG, 3.07 , 2.89103066826546
CMRO, 7.95 , 7.00395074367021
CNST, 5.86 , 5.62975115329351
COBR, 9 , 8.30420704731326
CPCI, 4.35 , 4.05533483533223
CRGN, 6.1 , 5.98818974301992
CRXL, 10.79 , 9.95652731549455
CSPLF, 6.5 , 6.1270974131711
CSU, 5.25 , 5.24174730599693
CTMI, 9.2 , 8.95521241638445
CWG, 10.35 , 9.25427587595069
CWP, 6.03 , 5.96964358980044
CY, 10.99 , 9.9573748217509
DAIO, 3.25 , 2.92693439062708
DAL, 6.15 , 4.84118341449892
DAVE, 8.88 , 8.82589558626644
DCAI, 7.9 , 7.12268493979159
DCLK, 7.33 , 6.806891157985
DECA, 10.98 , 9.83136541967894
DISK, 5.55 , 5.22689542268946
DMN, 6.22 , 6.21486810384478
DNDN, 12.12 , 10.497121871062
DOC, 3.6 , 3.4917420628953
DRRA, 8.96 , 7.82855149535478
DSGX, 1.44 , 1.38999369076805
DSS, 2.86 , 2.61709746200951
EASY, 1.53 , 1.48680821014916
EBKR, 10.55 , 9.10364743916486
ECST, 13.4 , 10.5690203861519
ECTX, 2.66 , 2.47585191183068
EDGR, 1.24 , 1.22221231454687
EGX, 10.57 , 9.90275282279114
ELXS, 3.8 , 3.6569585583162
ENI, 7.71 , 7.68099042792946
ENMC, 5.55 , 5.22433943571931
ENMD, 2.21 , 2.03928630102661
ENT, 4.37 , 4.12174356621481
ENTG, 9.68 , 9.43840421093122
ENTU, 3.5 , 3.47600050032498
EONC, 1.84 , 1.54541099876032
EPMD, 3.15 , 3.1131702214415
EPMN, 1.58 , 1.49430208611364
EVC, 8.36 , 8.33358792948244
EXTR, 6.48 , 5.73289656125788
FAC, 8.35 , 8.23488902922588
FCGI, 5.12 , 5.08638986189491
FDT, 10.5 , 9.58833589288263
FFED, 1.9 , 1.71003760693553
FFEX, 8.69 , 8.51268471015059
FNSR, 1.7 , 1.58100527331041
FRNT, 9.98 , 9.31893020890417
GAFC, 6.9 , 6.63687480811874
GAIT, 8 , 7.65729286112294
GAP, 7.1 , 6.79913756511928
GEG, 8.75 , 8.42208154885017
GEMP, 4.2 , 4.0610808399025
GGAL, 8.51 , 8.05955012188461
GLBL, 7.29 , 7.02161556167608
GPTX, 4.65 , 4.36425581564664
GPX, 8.38 , 8.25526546281579
GRB, 7.84 , 7.77420179968055
GSIC, 10.95 , 10.408708583921
GSOL, 8.48 , 7.3163572968696
GTSI, 10.2 , 9.79759722395121
GXY, 1.97 , 1.90842231066873
HDTV, 7.55 , 7.0459118699042
HED, 3.03 , 3.01814245478239
HEII, 2.28 , 2.22289772086508
HH, 5.04 , 4.92464683014599
HIST, 4.71 , 4.2211369795433
HLIT, 8.84 , 8.43560653827723
HOMZ, 2.21 , 2.07572518209447
HORT, 3.6 , 3.52875154898656
HOST, 3.1 , 3.06487829587052
HPOL, 6.77 , 6.70978493454592
HSR, 4 , 3.88166457259885
HSVLY, 6.23 , 5.95163742039554
HUGO, 6.26 , 6.22944275228292
ICTG, 8.5 , 8.20788672971888
IED, 3.02 , 2.5325438678807
IGTE, 4.03 , 3.88422617035129
IINT, 1.68 , 1.65446516632905
IMAX, 7.14 , 6.58052677344565
IN, 2.07 , 1.83822293963031
INCX, 15.81 , 12.1091320397537
INFA, 7.66 , 7.03851429527129
INFO, 1.67 , 1.66866883285915
INHX, 7.44 , 7.31004924616756
INOD, 5.4 , 5.35609300599083
IRS, 10.18 , 9.35681853610884
IRSN, 2.65 , 2.60883416443406
ISIG, 1.57 , 1.2545166598099
ISON, 4.18 , 3.68103325711395
IWOV, 9.74 , 8.96366503662202
JADE, 2.76 , 2.62719080370005
JCS, 11.45 , 9.64181738534579
JOB, 2.91 , 2.6735057798668
KFRC, 11.01 , 10.1383436000076
KGC, 8.09 , 7.37674183016638
KLIC, 7.04 , 6.96211651215247
KNDL, 7.87 , 7.0190088182383
KPN, 8.2 , 8.1492718226406
KRY, 3.85 , 3.78180972441852
KVHI, 8.98 , 8.46183201820652
L, 9.63 , 9.18082686917507
LCBM, 9.85 , 9.14956997976309
LCCI, 4.35 , 3.70428951353821
LGVN, 1.89 , 1.77462823291427
LSCC, 5.22 , 5.1571640234787
LSI, 4.79 , 4.57219634936057
LTBG, 5.28 , 5.14981027025737
LTXX, 5.98 , 5.75485170436829
LYTS, 10.84 , 10.5752767179653
MAIR, 9.25 , 9.02800627795608
MAX, 8.45 , 7.85996432972773
MBVA, 8.82 , 8.80117048402761
MDKI, 3.95 , 3.85408870593587
MEDC, 1.08 , 1.05967522872241
MESA, 6.57 , 6.30780209006586
MFRI, 7.58 , 6.76723035058208
MIKN, 7.6 , 6.86233641275827
MIND, 7.98 , 7.65393114116967
MIPS, 8.2 , 7.52008727830838
MMUS, 5.15 , 4.54398999407648
MNG, 1.38 , 1.34888663941084
MNS, 9.78 , 8.95105231419562
MPE, 1.76 , 1.48020487250159
MPS, 11.59 , 11.2932826589213
MRB, 1.56 , 1.51816637432709
MSEL, 4.59 , 4.54356527805674
MSHL, 9.52 , 9.1658054235949
MTMC, 2.99 , 2.91544952714577
MUSE, 4.52 , 4.40654779322586
MXC, 5.95 , 5.90546121914627
NBG, 6.1 , 5.63166210045543
NERX, 1.98 , 1.88059235182799
NHHC, 11.38 , 11.0691679875774
NMTI, 4.3 , 4.12600188949672
NOVA, 4.44 , 4.43427254980827
NTCT, 7.1 , 6.47500343056227
NTN, 2.85 , 2.7901639444453
NTO, 2.87 , 2.80260080942124
NTOL, 3.4 , 3.380174827037
NUHC, 7.4 , 7.30471026440977
NVI, 6.8 , 6.48025171912404
NWAC, 10.16 , 9.87278903180511
NWK, 8.39 , 8.09336815121765
OBAS, 5.65 , 5.53163063285148
ONNN, 3.67 , 3.55431151199677
OPLK, 1.98 , 1.91271796468839
OPWV, 12.32 , 11.2509619209521
ORBT, 6.99 , 6.85328661992201
ORCH, 10.05 , 9.46282104911348
OSTE, 5.11 , 5.00010185323348
OTE, 8.04 , 7.35541909411037
PANL, 9.94 , 9.85768364948721
PFBI, 11.1 , 10.2886094926525
PFSW, 2.1 , 1.8397324055395
PLCC, 7.21 , 6.86701126269013
PMCS, 10.98 , 10.012279605365
PNO, 4.18 , 4.04737584174153
POL, 8.35 , 8.30476377967179
POLXF, 7.54 , 6.88376158701325
PPK, 8.88 , 8.76154320819452
PRKR, 5.79 , 4.91453492891243
PRLS, 1.47 , 1.46936547904924
PRTL, 2.35 , 2.29187364686554
PSSI, 11.82 , 11.1882162145074
PTC, 11.14 , 11.0791190606104
PTIX, 7.32 , 7.02742432403134
PTT, 3.37 , 3.36804726103619
PWAV, 7.7 , 7.30850271376229
PWEI, 3.9 , 3.47366681715505
PWER, 8.01 , 7.60523017606696
Q, 3.62 , 3.57992469892466
RADS, 5.44 , 5.1218743482768
RAE, 7.81 , 7.21012003129124
RDCM, 2 , 1.72381864175683
REDE, 10.13 , 9.4529255155495
REFR, 7.5 , 7.43068056980061
RELL, 9.08 , 8.80528858679643
REMC, 5.77 , 5.60093212249252
RETK, 5.5 , 5.12654516711412
RMTI, 3.25 , 3.22015547121529
ROXI, 7.69 , 6.17343020418032
SANM, 8.8 , 7.68019534095331
SBAC, 9.08 , 8.59766127914485
SCH, 9.72 , 9.51710526263162
SCO, 1.63 , 1.61944208121812
SEGU, 4.78 , 4.71122890204057
SIZ, 9.7 , 9.60221618354008
SLP, 4.85 , 4.62325428648946
SMSI, 6.58 , 6.06922607832109
SMTL, 8.93 , 8.29687751265952
SNAK, 3.29 , 3.04424000601273
SPIL, 4.2 , 3.9460894319136
SPM, 4.89 , 4.73966305847877
SRR, 10.81 , 10.6719871726702
STCR, 11.33 , 11.1473718862595
STEM, 3.07 , 2.86361795730123
SUNW, 4.79 , 4.56697122467253
SYKE, 6.86 , 6.74503161161406
SYXI, 8.56 , 7.95855153187943
TALK, 6.38 , 6.02239520508863
TBC, 8.48 , 8.29162627078228
TBNC, 7.39 , 7.30666195937959
TEKC, 2.05 , 1.98520441022318
TGX, 3.8 , 3.71568550486017
TIBX, 10.11 , 9.71206304464923
TLGD, 9.59 , 9.46066601219888
TMM, 2.63 , 2.62158066440491
TMTA, 1.97 , 1.91007463692609
TORC, 2.89 , 2.81447446037151
TPY, 5 , 4.84826154379836
TRGL, 14.12 , 11.8479292758041
TRLY, 3.61 , 3.5657785992154
TSM, 8.28 , 7.68758562125754
TSRI, 6.88 , 6.82099036637146
TTES, 6.2 , 6.17629924216499
TUTS, 3.21 , 3.09226446444324
TWGP, 9.95 , 7.22920886189134
TXCO, 5.63 , 5.19040547756312
TZIX, 7.11 , 6.95024395601037
UCOMA, 8.06 , 7.81174911188206
UCTT, 5.4 , 5.35510175541654
UFI, 3.36 , 2.98150583652984
UG, 7.3 , 6.86488642146791
UPCS, 5.95 , 5.44842807761647
URGI, 4.07 , 3.50577172584971
VDSI, 3.5 , 2.96538685866062
VIGN, 1.25 , 1.21693185261833
VLG, 11.87 , 11.801192654295
VNWK, 3.16 , 3.00709083619725
VPHM, 3.31 , 2.79426259934343
VRST, 7.78 , 7.53535687046903
VTSS, 2.87 , 2.7442464637335
VVUS, 5.7 , 5.48351531375129
VYYO, 6.2 , 6.19849568943201
WEB, 6.09 , 5.88584031998311
WEDC, 6.55 , 5.90684706353267
WEX, 3.68 , 3.13113643791039
WFII, 8.7 , 7.42265368770702
WFR, 10.69 , 9.92130830434933
WHT, 3.47 , 3.38467066268898
WINS, 8.17 , 7.94671125927732
WOC, 6.09 , 5.38813708411447
WSTL, 5.7 , 5.67993032245186
WTT, 2.9 , 2.83825684376575
WTZ, 11.4 , 10.8211957459433
WVCM, 5.9 , 4.26413933660503
WVVI, 3.2 , 2.63937278833504
XNR, 2.85 , 2.77434609914773
YBTVA, 12.34 , 11.2795486892938
ZOMX, 3.59 , 3.56839212142087
ZONS, 5.22 , 4.03530712376601
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