Exit			 Polls	EXIT	POLLS	 ACTUAL	 VOTE		Difference	
			Vote	 Vote	  Vote Predicted	 Vote			 Predicted	
			By       %         %			 ACTUAL	 VOTE		vs	vs
STATE	# respondents	Gender	 for	  for	%Bush	%Kerry	%Bush	%Kerry		Actual	Actual
			       G Bush	J Kerry						Bush	Kerry
AR	1459	%Male	44	59	40	0.5396	0.4504	0.5434	0.4451		-0.0038	0.0053
		%Female	56	50	49							
												
Arizona	1907	%Male	47	58	41	0.5482	0.4418	0.5503	0.4437		-0.0021	-0.0019
		%Female	53	52	47							
												
CA	2390	%Male	49	47	50	0.4394	0.5357	0.4426	0.4429		-0.0032	0.0928
		%Female	51	41	57							
												
FL	2862	%Male	46	53	46	0.5138	0.4762	0.5222	0.4696		-0.0084	0.0066
		%Female	54	50	49							
												
Iowa	2512	%Male	46	52	47	0.5038	0.4916	0.5005	0.4911		0.0033	0.0005
		%Female	54	49	51							
												
MA	1991	%Male	47	49	48	0.4529	0.5277	0.4501	0.5304		0.0028	-0.0027
		%Female	53	42	57							
												
Mass	889	%Male	48	41	57	0.3684	0.6168	0.3695	0.6211		-0.0011	-0.0043
		%Female	52	33	66							
												
Mich	2555	%Male	49	50	48	0.4796	0.5055	0.4794	0.511		0.0002	-0.0055
		%Female	51	46	53							
												
Minn	2190	%Male	48	48	51	0.4696	0.5152	0.4762	0.5107		-0.0066	0.0045
		%Female	52	46	52							
												
Missouri	2264	%Male	47	52	47	0.5306	0.4594	0.5336	0.4606		-0.003	-0.0012
		%Female	53	54	45							
												
NH	1883	%Male	51	52	47	0.4857	0.5043	0.4898	0.5036		-0.0041	0.0007
		%Female	49	45	54							
												
NM	2006	%Male	45	51	48	0.499	0.4855	0.5011	0.4876		-0.0021	-0.0021
		%Female	55	49	49							
												
NY	1452	%Male	45	42	56	0.409	0.582	0.4049	0.5776		0.0041	0.0044
		%Female	55	40	60							
												
Nevada	2189	%Male	48	54	44	0.5036	0.4816	0.5049	0.4786		-0.0013	0.003
		%Female	52	47	52							
												
Ohio	2020	%Male	47	52	47	0.5094	0.4859	0.5096	0.4857		-0.0002	0.0002
		%Female	53	50	50							
												
OR	1064	%Male	45	56	43	0.4775	0.518	0.4732	0.5125		0.0043	0.0055
		%Female	55	41	59							
												
PA	2107	%Male	47	51	48	0.4835	0.5118	0.4862	0.5079		-0.0027	0.0039
		%Female	53	46	54							
												
TN	1783	%Male	45	59	40	0.579	0.411	0.5683	0.425		0.0107	-0.014
		%Female	55	57	42							
												
TX	1794	%Male	46	59	40	0.6116	0.3784	0.611	0.3828		0.0006	-0.0044
		%Female	54	63	36							
												
WA	2178	%Male	43	51	47	0.4587	0.527	0.4566	0.5295		0.0021	-0.0025
		%Female	57	42	57							
												
WI	2321	%Male	47	52	46	0.4882	0.4971	0.4933	0.4979		-0.0051	-0.0008
		%Female	53	46	53							
												
WV	1728	%Male	47	55	43	0.5553	0.43	0.5605	0.4325		-0.0052	-0.0025
		%Female	53	56	43