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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: LindyBill who wrote (84946)	11/8/2004 9:40:39 PM
From: Keith Feral	Read Replies (1) of 793804

<I believe (speculation alert!) that the enemy mobile defense is nearly at an end; that his active response has probably fallen to pieces much quicker than he anticipated and they are probably going to concentrate their resistance into mutually supportive strongpoints or explosive barriers fairly soon. The enemy's remaining hope is to hit the "jackpot" by demolishing a building or blowing up a street just as US forces occupy or overrun it. As they become squeezed into a smaller and smaller area, the risk that US forces will run into an exploding house or building will increase. But the rapid progress of the last two nights may be tempting US commanders to accept the risks and snap at the enemy's heels. Going fast may prevent the enemy from setting up their defense. One almost certain thing is that a fearful execution is being inflicted on the enemy, and probably worst among their officers and NCOs. Tonight's events will probably indicate whether the US goes for broke or takes a more deliberate approach.> I agree with your analysis. Mobile defense is not going to work for very long if we keep the insurgents on the run. Where will they go? It seems they will disperse to avoid certain death. It is up to the Iraqi people to realize the weakness of al quaeda fighters and prevent them assembling. By the time you drop as many bombs as we did, the Iraqi troops will become more confident in future missions. The problem that it is easy to overrun the resistance, but it is difficult to keep them from re-organizing. At some point, success in these battles must generate public confidence so that the police and the Iraqi army are perceived to be the superior force. You can't have police stations wiped out by rebels.

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