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Politics : Is Secession Doable?

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To: Road Walker who wrote (990)11/10/2004 1:27:33 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 1968
 
OK, make it an academic discussion of secession. Your logic is still faulty. Assuming a vote on secession, states would vote, not counties or cities. Of course you know that.

If you get enough support you get the states involved plus Congress to agree and then you don't have much problem. Maybe even go all the way and make it ironclad with a constitutional amendment letting certain states out of the union.

Assuming you don't get a national consensus than you don't get a simple situations where states vote and everyone respects the result even if it is 50.5% to 49.5%. If a state tries to secede, I can see a lot of West Virginia's happening. Western PA might be one of them, Pittsburgh leans blue but not as strongly as many other cities and the rest of the areas is mostly red. upstate NY (except a bit right near VT and Canada) eastern CA, and Easter OR might be other important defectors from "blue country".

But then I doubt even a majority in Boston, Berkley, or Windham County VT, would actually vote for secession. Nationwide I doubt you would get over 1% if people thought it might really happen. (If they didn't think it would happen you might get a lot more than 1% as a protest vote.)

The most interesting part of the numbers is that if just 75K voters in Ohio had voted for Kerry instead of Bush, Kerry would have won the electoral college while Bush won the popular vote 51% to 48%. How would the Republicans have felt about that?

I'd hardly like it but I imagine many Democrats would consider it fair payback for last time (despite Bush's much greater lead in the popular vote).

The electoral collage should be scrapped.

I wouldn't be against scrapping it but I'm not going to put a lot of energy in to the cause, and since it would need a constitutional amendment its probably not going to happen.

Tim
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