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Biotech / Medical : Kos Pharmaceuticals, Inc (KOSP)

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From: mopgcw11/11/2004 5:30:08 AM
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GS: Kos Pharmaceuticals, Inc. EPS (FY Dec) 2004E $1.67, 2005E $2.32 In-Line/Neutral
(KOSP) $43.98
The data from the ARBITER 2 study was presented this morning at AHA. We view
the data as a positive for the stock due to the study's potential to enhance KOS'
marketing efforts. The study looked at the effect of Niaspan vs. Niaspan plus a statin
on cardiovascular disease progression. The results showed that when Niaspan was
added to statin therapy, disease progression, as measured by the thickness of
cholesterol plaque in the carotid artery, was reduced by 68%. This study provides
KOS with further evidence to promote the use of Niaspan in the management of
cholesterol levels. The study also showed a reduction in coronary events when
Niaspan was added to statin therapy, but the patient numbers were too small for the
study to achieve statistical significance. Despite these positive results, a later
presentation at AHA emphasized that HDL's significance in cholesterol management
is still unproven, and that LDL should remain the primary focus of treatment. We
maintain our In-Line rating and Neutral coverage view.
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