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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Road Walker who wrote (212057)11/19/2004 11:52:28 AM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 1574139
 
Not only does the U.S. have a high growth rate for a developed country at present

Having a high growth rate for a developed country at present is like having a high popularity in the US for an Al Qaeda terrorist are present. Just about all developed countries have a low fertility rate, in some cases low enough that they will have a population implosion if they don't have massive immigration. You can't drop the qualifies and say that the US "has a high growth rate", because it doesn't. Absent immigration our population would soon become stagnant. Even with immigration the rate of growth is slowing. (even your source says so "the population at that time will still be growing by 0.5 percent per year, which is about half the present rate").

Another important point that your source makes "it is important to keep in mind that the Bureau's basic assumption is that fertility will remain roughly constant at today's approximately replacement level."

Our fertility is roughly at replacement level. Combine that low fertility with increasing life span and a relatively un moving retirement age and you have problems.

Tim
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