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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Gary105 who wrote (70088)11/23/2004 3:33:18 AM
From: WeisbrichA   of 94695
 
Harry S. Dent back in 2002 stated the following:

"To summarize, here’s the best picture of how we see the coming decade playing out. A strong rebound from late 2002 into 2003 lasting through most if not all of the year. Then a moderate pullback in early to mid-2004 to retrace some of those gains. Then a very strong rally from mid-to late 2004 through 2005 and likely into early to mid-2006. Then a 20% plus correction into late 2006 (stronger for the Nasdaq). By late 2004 or early 2005 the tech stocks should start to lead strongly again as they did from late 1924 to 1929 and from late 1994 through 1999.Then we should see a very strong tech-lead bubble through 2007 and 2008 that could extend into 2009. Then we expect the beginning of the next great, extended bear market starting by late 2009." "The Bubble Boom"
Copyright 2002, H.S. Dent Publishing hsdent.com

I have only followed Dent for the last year. Seems to have nailed most of it. I have added new large positions since August in UOPIX RYTNX UMPIX and INPIX. Will add more in first week of Dec. I believe we will have a few months barn burner, then a slower burn. My emergency downside protection is puts on the QQQ and switch out to USPIX.
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